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If the Playoffs Were to Start Today (2009, wk 9)

Posted on November 4, 2009 by Post Mortem
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HADOO090250_MilitaryPoster_Horiz-2-366x550You can check out the “Playoffs” tab on the myFantasyLeague site at any time to see how the seeds in PFFL would work out if the season ended today. Also, the old PFFL site has a page for the Division Race and Wild Card Race but tiebreakers are only mildly applied there (i.e., they are wrong).

But, I thought I’d add a little detail here.

If the playoffs started today, these would be your first round matchups:

(8) Camel Toe vs (1) Post Mortem
(7) Kramerica Industries vs (2) SIAP
(6) Hedfullalicker vs (3) CSPJ
(5) Turd Ferguson vs (4) Double D

Seeds 5-8 are all 4-4 right now. Turd beat Kramerica, so is the West division representative in the first three-way tiebreak, along with Hed and Camel. Camel lost to both Turd and Hed. Turd and Hed have not played, so it goes to total points and Turd gets seed 5. For the 6 seed, Hed gets it cleanly with a sweep of both Camel Toe and Kramerica. Finally, the 7-8 seeding comes down to total points scored.

That would breakdown as 2 teams from the East, 3 from the Central and 3 from the West

If you’re looking for some historical perspective on playoff chances after 8 games, here’s what I can tell you:

  • Teams with 6+ wins after 8 weeks have never ever missed the playoffs — a perfect 24-for-24. This is great news for Post Mortem and SIAP.
  • 6 teams with 5-3 records have failed to make the postseason, out of 41 teams to hit that record after 8 weeks.
  • Predictably, it gets a little tighter after that, as 16 .500 teams after 8 weeks have missed the playoffs, out of 42 with that record.
  • Only 9 teams with 3 wins in their first 8 games have ever made the playoffs. 20 of 29 teams at 3-5 missed out on the postseason fun.
  • The Hip has successfully bucked the odds twice, qualifying for the playoffs in 1999 after a 2-6 start, and again in 2004 after beginning the season 1-7. No one else has ever gotten into the dance without winning at least 3 of their first 8.

Marisa Miller’s blog probably doesn’t talk about fantasy football history.

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Categories: General | Tags: 2009, Marisa Miller, Playoffs

About Post Mortem

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Notice: This work is licensed under a BY-NC-SA. Permalink: If the Playoffs Were to Start Today (2009, wk 9)
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